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Y2K - Hype or Hope?
by Rita Bennett, from the CRA Newsletter, Fall, 1999

In the days ahead, should we play the "Head-in-Sand" Ostrich game or the "Chicken Little Sky-is-Falling" game? Most of us polarize to one group or the other concerning the effect of Y2K. (The initials are the abbreviation for "Year 2000 Kilo" or thousand). As always there are optimists and pessimists responding to the challenge. Hopefully we can hit a place of reality somewhere in the middle so we can talk about an important issue.

Just what is the Y2K problem? Over 30 years ago some computer programmers who wrote mainframe computer software, decided it was prudent to save computer disk space by shortening the date entries from four to two digits. For example, 1970 would be written 70. Apparently there was no foresight used by programmers when it came to considering what would happen when year 2000 rolled around and computers would read simply "00" which takes us back to 1900. Now in 1999 we soon will have seemingly lost a century of time, hardly a step of progress. And here I was looking forward to moving into the 21st Century! You too? I know.

The problem is that two rather than four-digit date fields are programmed into millions of computers worldwide. Two groups of computers are involved: main frames for large companies and personal computers for individuals.

PCs can be corrected fairly easily and owners should test for compliancy soon before the year end rush. Main frames are the bigger problem. Many companies are spending the money necessary to be compliant by year 2000 but others are far behind and will take several years beyond year 2000 to catch up. Some foreign countries can't afford to do anything other than to simply wait until the big new year test occurs before taking action. There are hundreds of unknowns facing the world.

The third and biggest concern is embedded microchips. These tiny, dime-sized, miniature, silicon computers have their programs burned in and cannot normally be changed. It's believed that about 10% of these chips will miscalculate year 2000. According to the estimated number involved, that equals 2,000,000 microchips. This can affect medical, industrial, governmental, and military systems.

Personal items we own that may be affected are automobile, television, dishwasher, refrigerator/freezer, washer and dryer, telephone answering machine, fax machine, and so forth. We will just have to wait to see which fail and replace the chip or the equipment. These are not normally life threatening concerns but expenses can add up. Two examples of danger would be losing refrigeration when food is short, and losing heat in the winter.

There can be serious effects for those who are unprepared. You and I have been given fair warning starting with Newsweek's 1997 article "The Day the World Shut Down." For a decade Larry Burkett has been telling people to get out of debt. Some people will be slow in responding, if at all, but the more who prepare, the better it will be for all of us.

How long will the crisis last? A estimate would be from several weeks, to two months, to two years depending upon the city, state or country where you live. What could be affected? Our jobs, our food, our finances and our safety. Yet fortunately this is not the end of the world. The sky is not falling.

What You Can Do

How can we prepare? You can do what my neighborhood did the very night of writing this newsletter, February 3, 1999. Joe and JoAnne, my newest neighbors, called a meeting to talk about what we should do with the coming challenge. Eight of us showed up. I like my neighbors. Met a few I hadn't previously known. We had a comforting time voicing our opinions as we sipped coffee or tea and nibbled on cookies and cake. One helpful decision was to learn about a small 2,500 watt generator that could help us in time of natural disasters as well as the Y2K one. Joe showed us a picture of a model he has already ordered. We talked about stocking enough food, water, finances, and gas to last us for a month or two. We'll be meeting again next month and will add a few more neighbors. More ideas and information will be exchanged as we meet. I came away feeling happy.

There are a number of books that are helping me get Y2K ready. They are Y2K CPR, a small easy to read booklet, free by calling (800) 289-2646 or on the web at www.Y2Knet.com.; Grant Jeffrey's book "The Millennium Meltdown;" the Red Cross has a list on the web you can request called "Safety Disaster Supplies Kit." Last weekend I attended a Y2K Seminar where I heard Keynote Speakers and authors: Ed Yourdon, Tom Cloud and Jim Lord. Mr. Lord, retired Naval officer, offers his book free to those who will print or read it on his web site www.Y2Ktimebomb.com. (This one I have not yet seen) Read all materials with discernment.

Genesis 18:17 says, "Shall I hide from Abraham what I am about to do?" Later Jesus, speaking to His disciples said, ". . . I have called you friends, for everything that I learned from my Father I have made known to you" (John 15:15). Spend time in prayer, meditation and study of Scripture. Pay attention to your dreams that you discern are inspired. God wants to take care of His friends, His own beloved children, and those they love. Are you on talking terms with Him? Now is a good time to make sure. Take His hand and say "Yes, Lord."